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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+1.01vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+1.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-1.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.40-1.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.41-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of California at Berkeley0.7437.5%1st Place
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3.01University of Hawaii0.1217.3%1st Place
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4.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.955.0%1st Place
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2.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.3023.8%1st Place
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3.61University of California at San Diego-0.4012.3%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Davis-1.414.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 37.5% | 28.5% | 20.5% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 17.3% | 22.3% | 23.5% | 19.9% | 12.8% | 4.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 28.5% | 36.4% |
| Summer Drake | 23.8% | 23.5% | 22.7% | 17.8% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| Rita Usmanova | 12.3% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 24.4% | 21.7% | 10.8% |
| Melody Quevedo | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 23.9% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.