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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+3.16vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.79+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.70+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas-0.15+1.95vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.19+0.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.00-0.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.25-0.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.09vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.21-3.14vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.34-1.47vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.3515.7%1st Place
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3.62California Poly Maritime Academy1.9920.5%1st Place
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3.51University of California at Los Angeles1.7922.7%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.6%1st Place
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6.38University of Washington0.746.5%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island0.707.0%1st Place
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8.95University of North Texas-0.152.6%1st Place
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8.73San Diego State University-0.192.6%1st Place
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8.16University of California at Davis0.003.5%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Berkeley-0.252.2%1st Place
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12.09University of California at San Diego-1.460.6%1st Place
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8.86Northwestern University-0.212.9%1st Place
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11.53California State University Channel Islands-1.340.7%1st Place
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7.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 15.7% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 20.5% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 22.7% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| John Mason | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 4.6% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 6.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 20.2% | 44.5% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 4.3% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 23.5% | 31.6% |
| Max Case | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.