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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+8.58vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+6.13vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+5.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+5.39vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.92+3.85vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+0.07vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98+1.83vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.59+2.17vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.58+1.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-1.21vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.23-3.94vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.97-4.14vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.93vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.71-8.90vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.77vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.51-6.15vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.40-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.13Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.39Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.85Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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10.72Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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8.06Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.1College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.85University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.25Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Haley Powell | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.