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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.40+0.62vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-2.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.41-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of California at Berkeley0.7437.6%1st Place
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3.0University of Hawaii0.1218.5%1st Place
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3.62University of California at San Diego-0.4011.5%1st Place
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4.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.955.2%1st Place
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2.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.3023.4%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Davis-1.413.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 37.6% | 26.9% | 20.0% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 18.5% | 22.1% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 12.7% | 4.5% |
| Rita Usmanova | 11.5% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 23.2% | 21.4% | 10.9% |
| Macy Rowe | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 28.1% | 36.4% |
| Summer Drake | 23.4% | 25.2% | 22.5% | 17.8% | 8.4% | 2.6% |
| Melody Quevedo | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 26.2% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.