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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas-0.15+5.11vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.15vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.99-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.79-2.86vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.70-1.78vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.19-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.25-1.51vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-1.34-0.81vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of California at Santa Barbara1.3518.7%1st Place
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7.11University of North Texas-0.153.4%1st Place
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5.27University of Washington0.749.1%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Santa Cruz0.868.4%1st Place
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3.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.9922.1%1st Place
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3.14University of California at Los Angeles1.7922.8%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island0.708.1%1st Place
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7.08San Diego State University-0.193.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Berkeley-0.252.6%1st Place
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9.19California State University Channel Islands-1.341.3%1st Place
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9.58University of California at San Diego-1.460.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 18.7% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 5.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Blake Roberts | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Brock Paquin | 22.1% | 22.4% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 22.8% | 21.3% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Burton | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 4.5% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 8.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 27.5% | 33.4% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 21.8% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.