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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+4.77vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+7.72vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.05vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.58+5.50vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71-0.17vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.15vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.23-0.22vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.40+1.92vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-1.62vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.98-2.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.71-1.88vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.59-2.60vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.51-3.13vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.87-5.49vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.92-6.92vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.97-8.10vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.5Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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5.83College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.78Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.92Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.38Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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10.87University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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9.51Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Haley Powell | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.