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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+6.78vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+6.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+2.88vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.90vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.40+6.00vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+0.16vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97+1.87vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.58+2.21vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.59+1.63vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.98-1.26vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.90vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.51-1.29vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.92-3.75vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.87-4.58vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.00vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.74-7.13vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.13Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.9Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.0Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.16College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.21Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.71University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.42Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 14.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% |
| Christina Lewis | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% |
| Haley Powell | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.