← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.94vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.12+0.60vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-0.40+0.04vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.94University of California at Berkeley0.7441.4%1st Place
-
2.6University of Hawaii0.1220.5%1st Place
-
3.04University of California at San Diego-0.4013.1%1st Place
-
2.41University of California at Santa Cruz0.3025.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Katherine Olsen | 41.4% | 31.1% | 19.8% | 7.8% |
Elizabeth Fourney | 20.5% | 24.3% | 29.4% | 25.7% |
Rita Usmanova | 13.1% | 16.9% | 22.8% | 47.3% |
Summer Drake | 25.1% | 27.7% | 28.0% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.