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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.59+9.15vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+5.94vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+5.81vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.92vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+2.97vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+0.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.28vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.87+1.07vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97+0.05vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.58+0.38vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-1.75vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.23-4.17vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.51-2.15vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-2.62vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-5.91vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.74-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.15University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.81Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.97Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.14College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.07Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.38Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.83Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.85University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.38Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.85Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Lewis | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% |
| Haley Powell | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.6% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 15.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.