Race 2A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Quentin Chafee 12.9% 12.5% 8.6% 13.6% 13.9% 7.6% 9.6% 9.4% 5.4% 4.6% 1.8% 0.1%
Colin Santangelo 10.5% 12.8% 12.3% 10.0% 11.4% 10.5% 8.5% 8.6% 8.2% 4.9% 2.1% 0.2%
Max Taylor 13.3% 11.4% 11.5% 12.3% 9.3% 10.9% 10.2% 8.8% 6.8% 4.6% 0.9% 0.0%
John Vrolyk 6.4% 8.2% 9.4% 9.6% 10.5% 9.6% 10.5% 10.2% 10.8% 9.6% 4.4% 0.8%
James Altreuter 9.3% 8.3% 10.7% 8.4% 11.2% 10.0% 9.6% 10.8% 8.4% 9.1% 3.7% 0.5%
Alex Kavanaugh 5.9% 5.5% 7.3% 5.9% 5.5% 9.1% 9.9% 11.0% 12.6% 16.7% 8.3% 2.3%
Conor Lodge 10.6% 11.4% 10.3% 9.9% 9.2% 10.5% 10.3% 9.4% 8.9% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8%
Billy Hines 7.3% 6.5% 7.2% 7.9% 7.0% 9.3% 8.9% 9.7% 12.7% 13.7% 8.1% 1.7%
Tevis Nichols 5.2% 5.5% 7.1% 8.4% 8.3% 8.0% 10.9% 10.9% 13.3% 14.8% 6.8% 0.8%
Matt Johnson 16.6% 16.2% 13.1% 12.2% 11.2% 11.4% 6.2% 5.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
John Fonte 1.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 8.6% 36.3% 35.1%
Terry Clarke 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 0.5% 1.2% 0.9% 2.6% 1.9% 2.9% 5.4% 24.4% 57.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.