← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.05+4.29vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University0.58+6.55vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.93+5.24vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute1.30+3.14vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.12+4.02vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.16-0.78vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.22+1.49vs Predicted
-
8Boston University0.40+3.86vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13-0.02vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.54-1.70vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University1.70-3.92vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.36-0.10vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University-0.84+0.18vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University0.70-3.49vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University0.94-5.44vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.85-5.94vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.07-7.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.29Tulane University2.0513.2%1st Place
-
8.55Hampton University0.585.5%1st Place
-
8.24University of Miami1.936.5%1st Place
-
7.14Webb Institute1.308.0%1st Place
-
9.02North Carolina State University1.124.7%1st Place
-
5.22U. S. Naval Academy2.1614.6%1st Place
-
8.49Old Dominion University1.225.7%1st Place
-
11.86Boston University0.402.1%1st Place
-
8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.134.9%1st Place
-
8.3Fordham University1.546.2%1st Place
-
7.08Jacksonville University1.708.6%1st Place
-
11.9University of Vermont0.362.7%1st Place
-
13.18Christopher Newport University-0.841.6%1st Place
-
10.51George Washington University0.704.2%1st Place
-
9.56Cornell University0.944.0%1st Place
-
10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.853.5%1st Place
-
9.64Northeastern University1.074.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wood | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.7% |
| Raam Fox | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Marco Welch | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 16.2% |
| Laura Smith | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 30.2% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% |
| Marcus Greco | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Jack Guinness | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.