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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samantha Bialek 16.4% 19.7% 19.4% 17.7% 13.6% 7.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Gavin Valentine 31.9% 22.1% 18.9% 13.2% 7.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jake Montjoy 7.5% 9.2% 10.8% 12.8% 14.4% 15.5% 13.6% 9.2% 5.5% 1.4%
Matthew Simpson 5.8% 5.2% 8.0% 9.1% 11.7% 14.8% 14.8% 14.2% 11.0% 5.5%
Ryan Ringel 8.3% 9.0% 9.2% 12.6% 13.8% 16.2% 14.4% 9.3% 5.1% 2.2%
Rowan Barnes 20.2% 22.9% 18.7% 15.4% 11.6% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Gregory Gold 2.4% 2.4% 3.5% 4.0% 6.3% 8.1% 10.6% 16.4% 21.6% 24.8%
Mason Bhola 2.8% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 8.0% 9.0% 13.2% 17.3% 18.4% 17.8%
Garrett Holt 1.8% 1.9% 2.8% 3.8% 5.5% 6.3% 9.9% 13.4% 20.9% 33.8%
Noah Shore 3.1% 3.8% 4.2% 6.3% 7.4% 12.7% 14.4% 17.0% 16.6% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.