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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+5.07vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+3.53vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.84+6.51vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+1.81vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+0.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+2.15vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47+0.51vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.72-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51-1.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.38-2.06vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-4.71vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.11-2.99vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.60vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.55+0.10vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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5.53Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.51Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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5.81Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.7Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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6.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.01Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.4SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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14.1Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 1.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Connor Needham | 7.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Toole | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Harry Scott | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 19.6% | 66.2% |
| James Gardner | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 39.5% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.