Race 8A

admiral-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Wefer 11.1% 12.5% 10.9% 12.0% 9.5% 7.6% 9.0% 7.1% 6.0% 4.4% 4.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Harry Scott 7.8% 9.5% 7.3% 6.5% 8.8% 7.6% 7.6% 9.0% 8.6% 10.6% 7.1% 4.9% 4.0% 0.7%
Antoine Screve 7.4% 8.9% 8.5% 8.5% 7.4% 9.0% 8.7% 7.2% 7.4% 7.9% 9.0% 6.0% 3.9% 0.2%
Connor Godfrey 3.6% 4.7% 5.0% 5.6% 6.0% 6.2% 6.3% 7.4% 7.1% 10.4% 9.6% 14.3% 12.1% 1.7%
Dillon Paiva 9.9% 9.8% 12.5% 8.9% 9.4% 9.2% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 6.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.2%
Connor Needham 6.4% 5.6% 6.7% 6.0% 6.6% 8.4% 8.0% 9.2% 9.5% 8.1% 8.9% 7.8% 7.6% 1.2%
Johnny Norfleet 10.5% 11.4% 10.1% 10.1% 7.6% 8.8% 8.7% 7.8% 7.4% 6.7% 5.7% 2.9% 2.1% 0.2%
William Haeger 12.2% 12.2% 10.7% 11.0% 8.7% 9.2% 7.4% 6.9% 5.5% 7.3% 5.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Taylor Vann 6.6% 4.1% 6.2% 5.5% 7.7% 5.8% 8.4% 9.7% 7.8% 9.9% 10.5% 11.3% 5.8% 0.7%
Jordan Factor 6.9% 5.2% 5.2% 8.5% 9.7% 7.5% 8.7% 6.1% 8.9% 8.4% 10.5% 9.6% 4.1% 0.7%
Cam Cullman 10.4% 8.7% 9.6% 8.4% 8.6% 10.7% 8.5% 7.2% 8.1% 6.3% 5.8% 5.3% 2.0% 0.4%
Jacob La Dow 4.9% 5.7% 4.9% 6.1% 7.4% 7.3% 6.8% 9.2% 10.3% 7.0% 9.3% 11.4% 8.4% 1.3%
Andrew Grasso 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 3.8% 8.0% 79.5%
Samuel Watterson 1.7% 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 4.4% 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 13.3% 37.9% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.