Race 10A

admiral-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Johnny Norfleet 10.1% 10.7% 7.6% 9.4% 8.6% 7.8% 8.8% 6.4% 9.1% 5.2% 6.2% 4.3% 2.8% 2.6% 0.4%
Antoine Screve 8.1% 8.0% 9.2% 9.8% 7.6% 5.8% 8.8% 8.2% 7.6% 7.8% 5.6% 6.4% 4.4% 2.5% 0.2%
Connor Needham 6.5% 6.6% 5.7% 7.6% 7.1% 7.1% 6.3% 8.2% 8.5% 8.5% 8.4% 7.8% 7.4% 3.9% 0.4%
Jordan Factor 7.3% 5.7% 5.9% 8.3% 8.3% 6.8% 5.6% 8.4% 8.0% 7.5% 8.7% 7.9% 7.1% 4.0% 0.5%
Harry Scott 7.6% 7.9% 6.6% 6.2% 6.9% 8.4% 6.4% 9.1% 6.4% 9.4% 7.9% 6.5% 6.4% 3.8% 0.5%
Cam Cullman 9.4% 8.9% 9.6% 8.1% 9.1% 9.3% 9.4% 9.3% 5.2% 7.7% 5.0% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Ryan Bailey 4.1% 3.7% 3.7% 3.3% 4.0% 4.2% 4.9% 5.3% 5.8% 7.6% 10.7% 12.3% 11.8% 14.9% 3.7%
Dillon Paiva 10.5% 11.0% 10.5% 8.4% 8.5% 10.0% 8.9% 6.5% 7.0% 5.8% 4.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Jacob La Dow 4.8% 4.8% 5.9% 5.4% 6.6% 7.1% 7.9% 7.3% 7.4% 8.9% 10.3% 7.8% 9.7% 5.7% 0.4%
Matthew Wefer 9.7% 10.4% 10.9% 11.0% 8.5% 10.3% 8.0% 8.0% 5.6% 5.3% 5.0% 3.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Taylor Vann 4.9% 6.1% 7.6% 6.1% 7.3% 5.7% 7.4% 6.7% 7.8% 6.8% 7.4% 8.2% 11.1% 6.0% 0.9%
Andrew Grasso 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 3.2% 9.5% 79.6%
William Haeger 10.4% 9.3% 11.4% 9.4% 8.1% 9.5% 8.8% 7.8% 7.8% 6.8% 3.6% 3.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Samuel Watterson 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2.5% 1.8% 2.8% 3.0% 2.7% 4.4% 5.1% 6.0% 6.9% 14.8% 34.3% 11.5%
Connor Godfrey 4.6% 5.1% 3.9% 4.4% 7.4% 4.6% 5.3% 5.6% 9.0% 6.6% 8.8% 12.6% 11.8% 8.9% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.