Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sam Ingalls 15.0% 13.1% 14.0% 13.6% 13.0% 10.8% 8.8% 5.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 10.0% 10.8% 11.2% 12.2% 11.2% 12.2% 10.7% 8.3% 7.1% 3.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Marina Garrido 10.6% 13.2% 11.8% 14.6% 13.1% 11.8% 9.4% 7.2% 4.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Connor Macken 17.0% 17.2% 17.9% 14.1% 12.8% 8.3% 6.2% 3.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Drew Mastovsky 28.1% 22.5% 17.5% 13.0% 8.5% 5.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Cunniff 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 4.5% 5.3% 6.4% 8.6% 10.0% 12.4% 16.1% 15.7% 12.8%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 3.7% 4.1% 4.5% 6.2% 7.3% 8.3% 10.5% 12.2% 12.2% 11.5% 9.0% 7.3% 3.1%
Sylvia Burns 3.5% 4.0% 5.7% 5.6% 7.6% 8.5% 10.0% 12.6% 11.2% 12.2% 9.9% 6.5% 2.8%
Griffin Stolp 1.6% 2.8% 3.5% 4.7% 4.2% 6.7% 7.5% 9.2% 12.0% 11.8% 14.1% 12.6% 9.3%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 4.5% 4.7% 5.2% 5.8% 7.4% 10.6% 11.5% 11.4% 11.5% 10.7% 8.6% 5.5% 2.5%
Caleb Burt 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.3% 7.8% 8.6% 10.5% 13.8% 13.2% 14.6% 8.9%
Kathleen Hanson 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.5% 3.6% 5.1% 6.5% 8.0% 11.7% 18.1% 37.4%
Rem Johannknecht 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.6% 3.2% 4.0% 4.7% 6.2% 9.4% 10.5% 13.4% 18.4% 23.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.