Race 12A

admiral-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Wefer 11.3% 12.5% 12.7% 8.9% 8.7% 9.5% 7.7% 7.6% 5.7% 5.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Jacob La Dow 5.4% 7.1% 7.0% 6.0% 6.4% 4.7% 8.6% 7.1% 9.0% 11.7% 9.7% 10.5% 5.7% 1.1%
Taylor Vann 6.5% 6.3% 6.2% 6.2% 6.1% 6.7% 7.2% 7.4% 9.5% 9.9% 10.2% 10.6% 6.3% 0.9%
Connor Needham 5.7% 6.5% 6.9% 7.0% 6.6% 8.2% 7.8% 8.7% 8.0% 8.1% 9.9% 9.7% 6.3% 0.6%
Jordan Factor 5.8% 6.5% 5.5% 8.6% 9.0% 7.8% 6.0% 8.4% 8.4% 8.9% 10.0% 9.0% 5.7% 0.4%
Cam Cullman 9.6% 8.0% 10.3% 9.3% 9.1% 8.4% 10.5% 7.6% 6.4% 7.5% 6.1% 4.4% 2.6% 0.2%
William Haeger 12.7% 13.5% 11.2% 9.4% 9.9% 8.6% 8.6% 7.0% 6.5% 5.2% 3.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Connor Godfrey 5.2% 4.2% 5.6% 5.0% 7.2% 5.2% 5.5% 6.3% 9.8% 8.3% 11.4% 12.3% 11.5% 2.5%
Dillon Paiva 11.0% 9.1% 10.3% 9.4% 9.8% 9.9% 9.3% 9.0% 7.0% 6.1% 4.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Harry Scott 7.3% 6.5% 5.5% 9.6% 7.2% 9.1% 8.1% 8.6% 8.6% 8.5% 8.8% 7.8% 3.8% 0.6%
Oliver Toole 8.6% 7.4% 7.3% 9.7% 8.5% 7.9% 9.0% 7.9% 8.3% 6.8% 7.8% 6.2% 4.0% 0.6%
Andrew Grasso 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 1.1% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 2.3% 2.4% 8.7% 80.6%
Johnny Norfleet 9.1% 10.4% 8.9% 9.1% 9.3% 9.7% 8.2% 8.7% 8.2% 5.4% 5.4% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Samuel Watterson 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 1.5% 1.9% 3.2% 2.8% 4.7% 3.9% 6.8% 5.6% 12.9% 39.4% 11.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.