Race 3A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Colin Santangelo 11.6% 9.8% 11.1% 11.2% 11.1% 11.3% 9.9% 9.2% 6.8% 6.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 12.7% 14.2% 12.4% 11.1% 10.4% 10.2% 9.3% 8.6% 6.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Matt Johnson 16.7% 14.7% 15.7% 11.2% 11.8% 10.0% 8.1% 6.1% 2.8% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Billy Hines 5.7% 5.1% 7.0% 8.5% 7.5% 8.2% 10.5% 11.8% 11.1% 13.9% 8.9% 1.8%
John Vrolyk 7.9% 9.0% 9.1% 8.6% 9.9% 9.2% 9.6% 10.5% 11.1% 8.7% 5.6% 0.8%
Conor Lodge 10.2% 9.6% 9.3% 9.0% 10.8% 12.0% 10.2% 10.5% 8.9% 6.1% 2.7% 0.7%
Max Taylor 12.9% 13.8% 11.6% 11.8% 10.4% 8.8% 9.7% 9.2% 6.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
James Altreuter 10.4% 10.7% 8.8% 10.2% 9.2% 9.6% 9.1% 9.8% 10.3% 6.8% 4.5% 0.6%
Alex Kavanaugh 5.3% 5.2% 6.9% 8.0% 8.3% 9.0% 8.7% 10.9% 14.4% 13.8% 8.1% 1.4%
Terry Clarke 0.4% 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.0% 2.5% 1.5% 1.8% 3.3% 7.0% 21.9% 57.2%
Tevis Nichols 5.4% 5.4% 5.8% 7.3% 8.0% 7.2% 10.6% 9.0% 12.7% 17.6% 8.4% 2.6%
John Fonte 0.8% 1.9% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.8% 2.6% 5.5% 10.2% 35.7% 34.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.