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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.66+4.24vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.10+2.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.42+0.82vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.96+0.63vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.20+2.64vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.17+1.54vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+1.83vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.84-5.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-0.30vs Predicted
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10Brown University-0.04-2.65vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.12-1.03vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.82-2.87vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.54-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Tufts University0.669.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Rhode Island1.1011.8%1st Place
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3.82Brown University1.4216.1%1st Place
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4.63Tufts University0.9612.5%1st Place
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7.64Harvard University-0.204.2%1st Place
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7.54Northeastern University-0.174.0%1st Place
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8.83Maine Maritime Academy-0.652.5%1st Place
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2.92Roger Williams University1.8429.1%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.672.6%1st Place
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7.35Brown University-0.043.6%1st Place
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9.97Williams College-1.121.1%1st Place
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9.13Fairfield University-0.822.0%1st Place
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10.71University of New Hampshire-1.541.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Broadus | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Ingalls | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 16.1% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Griffin Stolp | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 10.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 29.1% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% |
| Caroline Keeffe-Jones | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 21.1% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 12.2% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.