Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Drew Mastovsky 28.1% 22.9% 16.7% 12.3% 9.8% 5.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 12.2% 12.8% 12.8% 13.4% 14.4% 9.9% 9.4% 6.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Connor Macken 18.0% 17.5% 17.0% 14.1% 12.5% 8.3% 5.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 8.6% 9.2% 11.3% 12.2% 12.0% 13.4% 11.8% 9.2% 6.2% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Sam Ingalls 12.6% 13.7% 13.8% 14.6% 11.5% 12.2% 8.9% 6.1% 3.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Sylvia Burns 3.4% 4.9% 5.0% 5.2% 6.9% 9.8% 10.2% 12.8% 11.6% 11.9% 8.8% 6.1% 3.4%
Griffin Stolp 2.6% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 6.9% 8.8% 11.2% 14.1% 14.1% 14.2% 8.6%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 3.6% 4.3% 5.0% 5.7% 6.8% 9.0% 11.2% 10.8% 11.2% 10.9% 10.5% 7.7% 3.4%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 4.7% 4.2% 6.3% 6.0% 8.7% 8.7% 10.1% 12.2% 10.7% 11.2% 8.9% 5.9% 2.5%
Rem Johannknecht 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 2.2% 4.1% 5.8% 6.3% 9.4% 9.8% 14.4% 18.6% 22.1%
Caleb Burt 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.7% 6.9% 6.2% 8.9% 11.8% 12.0% 15.2% 13.6% 9.3%
Michael Cunniff 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 4.2% 4.0% 4.9% 7.2% 7.7% 9.9% 13.6% 13.3% 16.3% 12.2%
Kathleen Hanson 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 4.0% 5.0% 6.5% 8.0% 11.0% 16.2% 38.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.