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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.96+3.56vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.42+1.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.66+2.38vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.84-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.10-0.59vs Predicted
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6Brown University-0.04+1.19vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+1.89vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.17-0.49vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.20-1.47vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-1.10vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.12-1.12vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.82-2.71vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.54-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Tufts University0.9612.7%1st Place
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3.76Brown University1.4218.0%1st Place
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5.38Tufts University0.668.2%1st Place
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2.93Roger Williams University1.8428.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Rhode Island1.1012.5%1st Place
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7.19Brown University-0.043.7%1st Place
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8.89Maine Maritime Academy-0.652.4%1st Place
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7.51Northeastern University-0.174.7%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University-0.203.9%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.672.1%1st Place
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9.88Williams College-1.120.9%1st Place
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9.29Fairfield University-0.821.9%1st Place
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10.77University of New Hampshire-1.540.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 18.0% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 28.1% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Ingalls | 12.5% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Keeffe-Jones | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Griffin Stolp | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 9.3% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 20.6% |
| Michael Cunniff | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 13.6% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.