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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.46+1.20vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.52+0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.43+0.18vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-1.51+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27+0.21vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Northeastern University0.4634.7%1st Place
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2.18McGill University0.5235.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Michigan-0.4314.2%1st Place
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4.56Sacred Heart University-1.514.7%1st Place
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5.21University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.271.9%1st Place
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3.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.689.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boni | 34.7% | 29.3% | 21.0% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Heldman | 35.1% | 30.3% | 20.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 14.2% | 18.6% | 23.8% | 24.6% | 15.3% | 3.5% |
| Wynn Simmons | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 35.1% | 28.9% |
| Carissa Keung | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 22.1% | 58.4% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 9.3% | 11.9% | 20.3% | 29.0% | 21.2% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.