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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.52+1.13vs Predicted
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2Sacred Heart University-1.51+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.43+0.22vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.46-1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27+0.22vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13McGill University0.5237.0%1st Place
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4.54Sacred Heart University-1.514.9%1st Place
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3.22University of Michigan-0.4313.9%1st Place
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2.23Northeastern University0.4632.4%1st Place
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5.22University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.271.9%1st Place
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3.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.689.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Heldman | 37.0% | 29.7% | 20.2% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Wynn Simmons | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 35.6% | 27.4% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 13.9% | 17.2% | 24.6% | 25.1% | 15.2% | 3.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 32.4% | 31.1% | 21.4% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Carissa Keung | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 20.2% | 60.1% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 9.9% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 27.9% | 22.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.