Race 4A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matt Johnson 16.4% 13.6% 13.7% 13.7% 11.9% 9.6% 7.6% 6.0% 4.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 8.8% 11.9% 9.4% 10.4% 10.8% 9.9% 10.4% 9.9% 8.9% 6.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Colin Santangelo 12.4% 9.2% 11.0% 11.9% 11.4% 9.7% 10.0% 10.0% 7.7% 5.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Max Taylor 11.1% 13.3% 12.2% 11.8% 10.4% 11.6% 8.3% 8.2% 6.9% 4.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Tevis Nichols 5.9% 6.7% 5.9% 6.1% 8.1% 9.1% 9.4% 10.6% 12.2% 16.0% 8.4% 1.6%
Billy Hines 6.8% 5.4% 7.9% 6.4% 5.5% 9.3% 9.8% 11.4% 13.1% 13.9% 9.0% 1.5%
John Vrolyk 8.7% 10.0% 7.9% 9.0% 9.4% 10.2% 10.5% 10.3% 9.7% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4%
Quentin Chafee 14.8% 12.5% 13.3% 9.8% 9.6% 10.7% 9.9% 8.3% 4.6% 4.9% 1.5% 0.1%
Alex Kavanaugh 4.5% 5.4% 7.1% 9.0% 8.4% 7.6% 9.6% 12.1% 12.6% 13.7% 8.6% 1.4%
James Altreuter 8.8% 9.3% 9.9% 9.6% 11.2% 8.8% 10.7% 10.1% 10.6% 7.2% 3.3% 0.5%
Terry Clarke 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 1.7% 1.9% 1.2% 3.9% 6.1% 22.0% 59.2%
John Fonte 0.9% 1.7% 0.9% 1.5% 2.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 5.6% 10.8% 36.6% 33.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.