Race 12B

admiral-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Max Nickbarg 9.1% 10.1% 10.5% 8.3% 8.8% 7.3% 7.1% 9.4% 7.5% 6.0% 6.6% 3.9% 2.7% 2.4% 0.3%
Devin Laviano 7.1% 8.7% 7.3% 7.2% 8.6% 7.7% 9.3% 8.2% 6.7% 8.5% 6.4% 6.6% 5.0% 2.3% 0.4%
Bo McClatchy 5.4% 6.7% 6.0% 6.9% 6.5% 6.8% 7.5% 7.2% 9.1% 7.9% 8.6% 10.3% 6.1% 4.5% 0.5%
William Hutchings 8.4% 7.1% 7.2% 8.1% 8.6% 8.1% 7.4% 6.7% 8.5% 9.1% 7.0% 6.3% 4.6% 2.5% 0.4%
Nicholas Clemence 7.4% 7.8% 6.6% 7.4% 7.3% 8.5% 6.8% 8.4% 7.6% 9.2% 7.7% 6.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.4%
Hans Henken 11.9% 10.1% 9.1% 10.7% 10.1% 10.6% 9.2% 7.1% 6.9% 5.3% 4.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Connor Corgard 11.7% 9.2% 10.4% 10.7% 8.9% 9.1% 8.5% 7.6% 6.2% 5.6% 5.0% 4.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Michael Booker 6.8% 7.3% 7.5% 6.5% 6.7% 6.9% 9.2% 7.3% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 8.7% 6.3% 2.7% 0.7%
Adam Keally 2.7% 2.6% 3.7% 3.4% 3.7% 4.4% 5.6% 6.4% 7.2% 6.3% 9.7% 12.3% 16.5% 12.3% 3.2%
Nick Valente 4.7% 4.1% 7.0% 6.3% 6.6% 7.2% 6.4% 7.4% 8.9% 7.6% 9.8% 9.2% 8.8% 5.3% 0.7%
Louis Padnos 9.1% 11.9% 10.7% 9.4% 7.7% 7.9% 7.8% 7.6% 5.6% 7.4% 6.1% 4.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.6%
Francois Conde-Jahn 1.5% 0.7% 1.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 3.7% 4.4% 6.3% 7.3% 15.4% 36.8% 14.4%
Esteban Forrer 11.4% 10.3% 9.0% 9.5% 10.2% 8.8% 7.9% 8.6% 8.3% 6.1% 4.1% 2.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Eric Siegel 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 3.9% 4.3% 5.1% 4.8% 5.3% 5.3% 7.0% 8.7% 12.7% 17.0% 13.9% 3.3%
Philip Oasis 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.3% 3.1% 11.9% 75.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.