← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.18+2.83vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.94+5.81vs Predicted
-
3Washington College1.66+6.88vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.82+4.00vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.40+1.09vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.92-0.67vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.78+1.78vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.03-0.39vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.89+0.33vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.45-0.03vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.48vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.71-3.13vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.97-1.89vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.78-8.19vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.54-5.00vs Predicted
-
16Princeton University-0.32-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.83Harvard University3.1820.8%1st Place
-
7.81Roger Williams University1.946.5%1st Place
-
9.88Washington College1.663.0%1st Place
-
8.0George Washington University1.826.4%1st Place
-
6.09Roger Williams University2.409.5%1st Place
-
5.33Yale University2.9211.5%1st Place
-
8.78Brown University1.784.9%1st Place
-
7.61Bowdoin College2.036.3%1st Place
-
9.33Fordham University1.894.0%1st Place
-
9.97Connecticut College1.452.6%1st Place
-
9.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.5%1st Place
-
8.87Northeastern University1.714.3%1st Place
-
11.11Boston University0.972.5%1st Place
-
5.81University of Rhode Island2.7810.2%1st Place
-
10.0Tufts University1.543.4%1st Place
-
14.07Princeton University-0.320.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 20.8% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Harris Padegs | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Will Priebe | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 11.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.