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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+2.93vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.22vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+4.76vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.78+4.79vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+2.59vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.89+3.38vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.45+2.93vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.82+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-3.23vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.66-0.06vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.40-4.97vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.54-2.02vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-4.08vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.97-3.05vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-5.63vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.32-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Harvard University3.1820.2%1st Place
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5.22Yale University2.9213.7%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University1.946.6%1st Place
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8.79Brown University1.784.3%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College2.036.2%1st Place
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9.38Fordham University1.892.8%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College1.452.9%1st Place
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8.25George Washington University1.825.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island2.7810.4%1st Place
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9.94Washington College1.663.3%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University2.409.6%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University1.543.2%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University1.714.2%1st Place
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10.95Boston University0.972.5%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.5%1st Place
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14.17Princeton University-0.320.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 20.2% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Harris Padegs | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Will Priebe | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 10.9% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.