Race 5A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Quentin Chafee 12.8% 11.7% 10.9% 12.6% 12.1% 10.2% 9.7% 6.8% 7.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Max Taylor 10.7% 14.6% 11.3% 10.3% 11.8% 10.7% 10.1% 8.3% 6.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.1%
John Vrolyk 8.5% 7.1% 9.1% 9.2% 9.1% 9.7% 10.8% 11.6% 10.9% 10.8% 3.0% 0.2%
James Altreuter 7.2% 9.8% 10.6% 11.5% 8.0% 11.1% 10.5% 10.4% 9.4% 9.0% 2.3% 0.2%
Conor Lodge 9.7% 9.8% 10.2% 10.3% 12.0% 8.9% 11.4% 9.4% 7.9% 8.0% 2.2% 0.2%
Colin Santangelo 11.7% 11.2% 10.1% 12.0% 10.4% 11.4% 9.2% 10.1% 7.3% 5.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Alex Kavanaugh 5.7% 6.0% 7.4% 6.9% 8.7% 8.3% 8.4% 10.7% 14.7% 15.2% 6.0% 2.0%
Billy Hines 7.6% 6.1% 6.5% 7.3% 8.4% 8.6% 9.4% 11.0% 13.3% 15.0% 6.0% 0.8%
Matt Johnson 17.6% 17.2% 14.9% 11.4% 10.8% 10.6% 7.7% 4.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Charles Field 6.9% 5.3% 7.3% 6.9% 7.2% 8.7% 10.1% 12.3% 12.5% 15.4% 6.5% 0.9%
Terry Clarke 1.2% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 2.8% 3.7% 7.1% 39.8% 40.1%
Josh Basseches 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 4.3% 30.0% 55.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.