← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.03+6.69vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.78+6.85vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.78+2.77vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.40+2.08vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.97+6.07vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.92-0.83vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.94+0.50vs Predicted
-
8Washington College1.66+2.11vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.45+0.74vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.18-6.14vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.71-2.17vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.89-2.63vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.54-2.84vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University1.82-5.85vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-5.54vs Predicted
-
16Princeton University-0.32-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.69Bowdoin College2.035.2%1st Place
-
8.85Brown University1.784.3%1st Place
-
5.77University of Rhode Island2.7810.9%1st Place
-
6.08Roger Williams University2.409.8%1st Place
-
11.07Boston University0.972.4%1st Place
-
5.17Yale University2.9213.6%1st Place
-
7.5Roger Williams University1.946.7%1st Place
-
10.11Washington College1.663.4%1st Place
-
9.74Connecticut College1.453.0%1st Place
-
3.86Harvard University3.1821.2%1st Place
-
8.83Northeastern University1.714.0%1st Place
-
9.37Fordham University1.893.6%1st Place
-
10.16Tufts University1.542.7%1st Place
-
8.15George Washington University1.825.4%1st Place
-
9.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.4%1st Place
-
14.2Princeton University-0.320.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thibault Antonietti | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
Kerem Erkmen | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Kyle Pfrang | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 10.3% |
Teddy Nicolosi | 13.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Mathieu Dale | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Stewart Gurnell | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
Harris Padegs | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
Justin Callahan | 21.2% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Will Priebe | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
Kenneth Corsig | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
Bryan Trammell | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 5.8% |
Tyler Wood | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
William Weinbecker | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
Bryan Lawrence | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.