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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland1.02+1.73vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.19+2.46vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.49-0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania-1.09+1.78vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.43-0.15vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.70-2.77vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.50-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Maryland1.020.3%1st Place
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4.46Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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2.16Syracuse University1.490.4%1st Place
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5.78University of Pennsylvania-1.090.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Delaware-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.23Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
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4.79Rutgers University-0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bigelow | 25.7% | 24.1% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Tracy Venella | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 13.2% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 37.7% | 31.4% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Altenhofen | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 47.2% |
| Kate Ranney | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 25.4% | 18.5% |
| Ted Wingender | 16.4% | 18.3% | 25.0% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Connor Van Demark | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 24.3% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.