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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+6.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+2.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.27+6.16vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.38+4.83vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.42+3.72vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.49+2.73vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.48-1.88vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-3.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-2.77vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-4.22vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.58-1.68vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.60-0.38vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.19-0.39vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-4.20vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-5.23vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.28-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Yale University1.907.1%1st Place
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4.68Brown University2.7314.8%1st Place
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9.16George Washington University1.274.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island1.383.9%1st Place
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8.72Fordham University1.424.4%1st Place
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8.73Northwestern University1.495.1%1st Place
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5.12Harvard University2.4813.2%1st Place
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4.64Roger Williams University2.6815.4%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.559.0%1st Place
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5.78Bowdoin College2.3810.2%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University1.583.7%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College0.601.5%1st Place
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12.61Washington College0.190.9%1st Place
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9.8Boston University1.073.2%1st Place
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9.77Northeastern University1.072.9%1st Place
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13.76Princeton University-0.280.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Guthrie Braun | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Shea Smith | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 15.4% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| George Higham | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 12.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 21.3% | 23.2% |
| Porter Bell | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Richard Kertatos | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.