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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+6.28vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.57+4.67vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.58+1.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51+1.90vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.71-0.37vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+0.22vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.94-3.02vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.88-0.71vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.84-1.38vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.72-1.94vs Predicted
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13Washington College-1.01-0.02vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-0.69-0.14vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-5.47vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.72-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76University of Miami2.3214.5%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.095.4%1st Place
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7.67Old Dominion University1.577.5%1st Place
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4.47Cornell University2.3817.4%1st Place
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6.98University of Pennsylvania1.587.4%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University1.515.8%1st Place
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6.63Webb Institute1.718.5%1st Place
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8.22California Poly Maritime Academy1.204.6%1st Place
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5.98Fordham University1.9410.2%1st Place
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9.29SUNY Stony Brook0.883.8%1st Place
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9.62Princeton University0.843.4%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont0.723.4%1st Place
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12.98Washington College-1.011.1%1st Place
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13.86University of Virginia-0.691.0%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.6%1st Place
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9.79SUNY Maritime College0.722.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 14.5% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Earl | 17.4% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Calvin Schmid | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| kai rauch | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Asher Green | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 4.7% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 21.6% | 30.3% |
| Patrick McBride | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 46.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.