Race 6A

boston

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Max Taylor 12.4% 11.7% 11.5% 11.9% 11.3% 9.5% 10.6% 8.4% 7.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.1%
James Altreuter 7.9% 10.9% 10.8% 8.1% 9.5% 10.7% 11.2% 9.8% 10.3% 8.3% 2.5% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 13.7% 10.6% 13.4% 12.9% 8.9% 11.3% 9.8% 8.0% 6.2% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Matt Johnson 15.9% 17.6% 13.6% 12.2% 11.2% 8.8% 7.3% 6.4% 4.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Colin Santangelo 11.1% 12.4% 12.6% 10.6% 10.6% 9.2% 9.6% 8.0% 7.4% 6.9% 1.5% 0.1%
Conor Lodge 11.0% 10.1% 8.4% 10.3% 11.0% 10.3% 9.4% 10.5% 9.3% 7.5% 2.0% 0.2%
John Vrolyk 8.7% 9.5% 7.7% 9.4% 9.1% 9.9% 10.9% 12.5% 10.0% 8.5% 3.2% 0.6%
Alex Kavanaugh 6.7% 5.7% 7.2% 6.5% 7.4% 9.0% 9.5% 10.4% 11.5% 18.2% 6.2% 1.7%
Charles Field 4.8% 5.2% 7.1% 9.5% 8.9% 9.3% 9.6% 10.4% 14.3% 14.2% 5.6% 1.1%
Josh Basseches 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 4.1% 32.2% 53.3%
Terry Clarke 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 2.4% 3.1% 7.2% 38.0% 41.9%
Billy Hines 6.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 9.2% 8.8% 9.6% 11.3% 14.2% 14.7% 6.5% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.