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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+3.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+6.27vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+1.69vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.71+2.57vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.58+1.86vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.72+3.80vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51+0.97vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.88+1.45vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-0.73vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.84-0.36vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.94-5.08vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.72-1.90vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-0.69+0.79vs Predicted
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14Washington College-1.01-0.94vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-5.29vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.57-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Cornell University2.3817.7%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.7%1st Place
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4.69University of Miami2.3214.8%1st Place
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6.57Webb Institute1.718.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Pennsylvania1.587.8%1st Place
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9.8SUNY Maritime College0.723.4%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University1.516.3%1st Place
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9.45SUNY Stony Brook0.883.5%1st Place
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8.27California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.3%1st Place
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9.64Princeton University0.843.9%1st Place
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5.92Fordham University1.9410.2%1st Place
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10.1University of Vermont0.723.2%1st Place
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13.79University of Virginia-0.690.5%1st Place
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13.06Washington College-1.011.0%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.3%1st Place
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7.62Old Dominion University1.576.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hayden Earl | 17.7% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jack Derry | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
Atlee Kohl | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Calvin Schmid | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Cole Woodworth | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Brooks Turcotte | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
Connor Rosow | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
kai rauch | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
Ryan Downey | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
Asher Green | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
Peter Lobaugh | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Ryan Potter | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 4.8% |
Patrick McBride | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 17.8% | 46.2% |
Jonathan Kelly | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 22.1% | 30.4% |
Tyler Egeli | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
Parker Purrington | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.