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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.75vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.94+3.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+4.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+4.21vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.71+1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.58+1.01vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38-2.46vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+0.23vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.72+0.91vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.72+0.20vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.57-3.59vs Predicted
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12Washington College-1.01+1.08vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.88-3.59vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.84-4.37vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.69-1.18vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75University of Miami2.3216.8%1st Place
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5.85Fordham University1.9410.1%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University1.515.3%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.9%1st Place
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6.36Webb Institute1.718.5%1st Place
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7.01University of Pennsylvania1.587.4%1st Place
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4.54Cornell University2.3816.2%1st Place
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8.23California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.8%1st Place
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9.91SUNY Maritime College0.722.9%1st Place
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10.2University of Vermont0.723.0%1st Place
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7.41Old Dominion University1.576.7%1st Place
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13.08Washington College-1.010.7%1st Place
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9.41SUNY Stony Brook0.883.8%1st Place
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9.63Princeton University0.843.7%1st Place
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13.82University of Virginia-0.690.8%1st Place
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9.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 16.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Jack Derry | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Earl | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 4.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 23.9% | 28.3% |
| kai rauch | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Asher Green | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Patrick McBride | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 47.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.