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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland1.02+1.54vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-0.50+2.76vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.19+1.24vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.49-1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.43-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania-1.09-0.42vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-0.19-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Maryland1.020.3%1st Place
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4.76Rutgers University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.24Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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2.05Syracuse University1.490.4%1st Place
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4.71University of Delaware-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Pennsylvania-1.090.0%1st Place
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4.12Ocean County College-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bigelow | 28.2% | 28.5% | 19.8% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Connor Van Demark | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 22.3% | 17.8% |
| Tracy Venella | 8.6% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 10.4% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 41.3% | 28.7% | 18.1% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kate Ranney | 5.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 20.5% | 18.8% |
| Tyler Altenhofen | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 43.4% |
| Connor Wells | 8.4% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.