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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland1.02+1.76vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.49+0.12vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.70+0.19vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.19+0.51vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.50-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania-1.09-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.43-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76University of Maryland1.020.3%1st Place
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2.12Syracuse University1.490.4%1st Place
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3.19Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
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4.51Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.99Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Pennsylvania-1.090.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Delaware-0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bigelow | 25.5% | 23.7% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 39.4% | 29.9% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ted Wingender | 15.9% | 20.0% | 23.6% | 20.3% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| Tracy Venella | 6.5% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 21.8% | 20.5% | 12.4% |
| Connor Van Demark | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 23.4% | 22.9% |
| Tyler Altenhofen | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 46.2% |
| Kate Ranney | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 20.7% | 24.4% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.