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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+6.19vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.84+6.67vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.57+3.41vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.71+1.53vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38-1.57vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51+1.13vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.88+1.55vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.94-3.09vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.58-3.13vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-2.65vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.72-1.91vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.72-3.16vs Predicted
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14Washington College-1.01-1.01vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.69-1.32vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73University of Miami2.3216.2%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.095.4%1st Place
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9.67Princeton University0.844.0%1st Place
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7.41Old Dominion University1.576.4%1st Place
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6.53Webb Institute1.718.3%1st Place
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4.43Cornell University2.3817.2%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.515.0%1st Place
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9.55SUNY Stony Brook0.883.5%1st Place
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5.91Fordham University1.9410.6%1st Place
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6.87University of Pennsylvania1.588.1%1st Place
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8.35California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.2%1st Place
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10.09SUNY Maritime College0.722.8%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont0.722.5%1st Place
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12.99Washington College-1.011.0%1st Place
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13.68University of Virginia-0.690.9%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 16.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Asher Green | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Schmid | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Earl | 17.2% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| kai rauch | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 21.4% | 30.3% |
| Patrick McBride | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 17.6% | 45.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.