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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland1.02+1.75vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.70+1.14vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.49-0.87vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.50+1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania-1.09+0.76vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.19-1.50vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.43-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of Maryland1.020.3%1st Place
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3.14Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
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2.13Syracuse University1.490.4%1st Place
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5.02Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Pennsylvania-1.090.0%1st Place
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4.5Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Delaware-0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bigelow | 25.3% | 24.0% | 21.4% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Ted Wingender | 17.1% | 20.3% | 22.5% | 20.7% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 38.6% | 30.2% | 17.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Van Demark | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 27.3% | 20.9% |
| Tyler Altenhofen | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 21.6% | 46.5% |
| Tracy Venella | 6.1% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 13.9% |
| Kate Ranney | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 23.8% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.