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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+3.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+5.86vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.72+7.04vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+4.23vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.58+2.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+2.29vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.57+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32-3.34vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.72+0.87vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.71-3.51vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.84-1.43vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.94-6.00vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.32vs Predicted
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14Washington College-1.01-0.89vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.88-5.51vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.69-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Cornell University2.3817.6%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University1.515.5%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont0.723.0%1st Place
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8.23California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Pennsylvania1.587.5%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.095.0%1st Place
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7.45Old Dominion University1.576.4%1st Place
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4.66University of Miami2.3215.3%1st Place
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9.87SUNY Maritime College0.723.5%1st Place
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6.49Webb Institute1.719.0%1st Place
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9.57Princeton University0.843.8%1st Place
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6.0Fordham University1.949.9%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.9%1st Place
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13.11Washington College-1.010.9%1st Place
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9.49SUNY Stony Brook0.882.8%1st Place
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13.82University of Virginia-0.690.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Earl | 17.6% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Derry | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 15.3% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Asher Green | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 23.2% | 30.1% |
| kai rauch | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Patrick McBride | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 19.1% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.