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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+3.39vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.71+4.51vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+1.74vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.57+3.52vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.72+5.07vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.30+1.80vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.77vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.51-0.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-0.89vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.94-4.11vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.72-1.12vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.84-2.58vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.88-3.71vs Predicted
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14Washington College-1.01-1.12vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.69-1.23vs Predicted
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16California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Cornell University2.3817.3%1st Place
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6.51University of Pennsylvania1.718.5%1st Place
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4.74University of Miami2.3214.2%1st Place
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7.52Old Dominion University1.576.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont0.722.8%1st Place
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7.8Webb Institute1.306.0%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.0%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University1.516.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.096.5%1st Place
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5.89Fordham University1.9410.7%1st Place
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9.88SUNY Maritime College0.723.8%1st Place
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9.42Princeton University0.844.2%1st Place
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9.29SUNY Stony Brook0.883.2%1st Place
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12.88Washington College-1.011.2%1st Place
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13.77University of Virginia-0.690.8%1st Place
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8.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Earl | 17.3% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 14.2% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 4.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Jack Derry | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Asher Green | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| kai rauch | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 22.2% | 28.9% |
| Patrick McBride | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 17.3% | 46.4% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.