← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Maryland1.02+1.63vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College0.70+0.98vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University1.49-0.95vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-0.19+0.24vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania-1.09+0.42vs Predicted
-
6Rutgers University-0.50-1.33vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-1.74-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63University of Maryland1.020.3%1st Place
-
2.98Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
-
2.05Syracuse University1.490.4%1st Place
-
4.24Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
-
5.42University of Pennsylvania-1.090.0%1st Place
-
4.67Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
-
6.01University of Delaware-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bigelow | 26.1% | 25.7% | 22.5% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Ted Wingender | 17.8% | 21.7% | 25.6% | 20.5% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 40.8% | 29.7% | 18.0% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tracy Venella | 6.1% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 25.6% | 16.6% | 6.0% |
| Tyler Altenhofen | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 32.3% | 26.4% |
| Connor Van Demark | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 23.2% | 11.6% |
| Nicholas Cavaliere | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.