← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University1.49+1.08vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College0.70+0.99vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland1.02-0.39vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-0.19+0.25vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania-1.09+0.44vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-1.74+0.13vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-0.50-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08Syracuse University1.490.4%1st Place
-
2.99Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
-
2.61University of Maryland1.020.2%1st Place
-
4.25Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
-
5.44University of Pennsylvania-1.090.0%1st Place
-
6.13University of Delaware-1.740.0%1st Place
-
4.51Rutgers University-0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Pardini | 42.2% | 27.3% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ted Wingender | 17.1% | 23.2% | 24.7% | 19.5% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| David Bigelow | 23.9% | 27.5% | 24.6% | 14.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Tracy Venella | 6.5% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 25.2% | 16.4% | 6.4% |
| Tyler Altenhofen | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 18.1% | 31.7% | 27.8% |
| Nicholas Cavaliere | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 56.6% |
| Connor Van Demark | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 26.6% | 22.3% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.