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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.60+5.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+5.21vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.68+2.65vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.87+3.64vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.73+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.64+0.36vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.59-0.39vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.71+1.50vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.21vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51-3.15vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.50-4.25vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.54-2.03vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.22vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-7.14vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.68-1.79vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.58-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6University of Pennsylvania1.609.5%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.2%1st Place
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5.65Cornell University1.6811.3%1st Place
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7.64Princeton University1.875.6%1st Place
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5.01Webb Institute1.7313.6%1st Place
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6.36University of Miami1.649.4%1st Place
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6.61Old Dominion University1.599.2%1st Place
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9.5SUNY Maritime College0.713.6%1st Place
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11.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.032.1%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University1.516.3%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University1.508.3%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont0.542.6%1st Place
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13.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.581.1%1st Place
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6.86California Poly Maritime Academy1.629.5%1st Place
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13.21Washington College-0.680.7%1st Place
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13.36University of Virginia-0.580.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Finn Mahan | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 8.8% |
| Clark Morris | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bennett | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Quine | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 22.5% | 29.0% |
| Clay Myers | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 27.0% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.