← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University3.35+3.79vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.29vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.71vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.23vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.11+2.88vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.28-1.14vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University2.11+0.73vs Predicted
-
8Columbia University2.43-1.02vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.51-2.23vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.87-4.11vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.55-1.66vs Predicted
-
12William and Mary1.20-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.79Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
4.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
5.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
-
3.77U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
-
7.88Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
-
4.86Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
7.73Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
-
6.98Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.77George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
-
5.89Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
-
9.34Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
-
9.99William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kayla McComb | 14.2% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Mary Hall | 18.0% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 10.6% |
| Nancy Hagood | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 9.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.1% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 26.4% |
| Derrill Hagood | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 20.4% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.