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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.64+5.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+5.05vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+3.68vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.68+1.60vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59+1.65vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.73-1.06vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+4.10vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.60-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.54+1.03vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+3.29vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.58+2.28vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.68+1.23vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.71-3.49vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-7.15vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.50-8.12vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.87-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25University of Miami1.649.3%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.9%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University1.518.6%1st Place
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5.6Cornell University1.6811.2%1st Place
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6.65Old Dominion University1.598.0%1st Place
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4.94Webb Institute1.7314.3%1st Place
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11.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.032.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Pennsylvania1.607.7%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont0.543.4%1st Place
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13.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.580.8%1st Place
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13.28University of Virginia-0.581.1%1st Place
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13.23Washington College-0.680.9%1st Place
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9.51SUNY Maritime College0.713.6%1st Place
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6.85California Poly Maritime Academy1.627.9%1st Place
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6.88Fordham University1.507.0%1st Place
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7.81Princeton University1.876.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Steven Hardee | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Luke Zylinski | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Clark Morris | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
J.J. Smith | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Andrew Ciszewski | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Rayne Duff | 14.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Andy Leshaw | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 6.0% |
Samuel Gavula | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Luke Quine | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
Ryan Magill | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 21.5% | 30.6% |
Hannah Mercurio | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 28.7% |
Hartley Meyer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 22.9% | 28.5% |
Finn Mahan | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
Clay Myers | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Connor Bennett | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Connor Mraz | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.