Race 2A

maisa-womens-spring-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Arielle DeLisser 8.1% 8.9% 8.1% 11.1% 9.9% 12.1% 10.7% 9.8% 8.3% 6.8% 4.2% 2.0%
Mary Hall 18.0% 19.8% 14.8% 13.2% 10.9% 8.3% 7.4% 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 9.3% 7.0% 9.9% 8.7% 10.3% 9.6% 10.4% 11.9% 10.1% 7.4% 3.7% 1.7%
Kayla McComb 14.7% 17.2% 12.6% 13.8% 11.1% 10.7% 6.7% 6.4% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Mia Cooper 3.2% 4.1% 5.3% 5.3% 6.3% 7.2% 8.0% 9.6% 11.2% 13.9% 14.6% 11.3%
Nancy Hagood 13.2% 10.6% 12.5% 12.8% 11.6% 10.9% 9.5% 7.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.9% 0.3%
Lauren Turner 14.1% 13.4% 13.8% 11.5% 11.3% 8.7% 9.9% 7.1% 5.4% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6%
Irene Jacqz 7.0% 5.8% 5.7% 6.6% 7.3% 9.6% 9.3% 10.1% 12.0% 12.0% 9.1% 5.5%
Annie Eckmann 1.7% 1.8% 3.1% 2.9% 3.9% 4.4% 6.9% 8.4% 9.8% 12.1% 21.4% 23.6%
Giuditta Di Laghi 4.2% 4.1% 4.5% 5.6% 6.2% 6.5% 8.5% 10.2% 12.6% 14.8% 13.2% 9.6%
Maria Sinagra 5.3% 4.9% 7.6% 7.0% 8.6% 9.1% 9.7% 10.4% 11.3% 12.5% 8.8% 4.8%
Derrill Hagood 1.2% 2.4% 2.1% 1.5% 2.6% 2.9% 3.0% 5.1% 7.2% 11.6% 20.1% 40.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.