Race 7A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matt Johnson 16.5% 14.7% 12.4% 14.5% 11.0% 10.4% 7.6% 5.1% 4.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Max Taylor 11.5% 13.3% 11.6% 11.7% 11.6% 9.9% 9.0% 8.9% 6.9% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Conor Lodge 11.0% 8.8% 10.5% 8.4% 10.1% 10.7% 11.4% 10.3% 9.8% 7.2% 1.7% 0.1%
Colin Santangelo 9.5% 12.8% 12.0% 11.3% 11.7% 11.2% 8.4% 9.0% 7.6% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Quentin Chafee 13.4% 12.0% 13.5% 10.9% 12.4% 8.2% 10.1% 6.7% 6.3% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Charles Field 5.9% 6.5% 7.0% 6.0% 6.6% 8.3% 10.9% 10.8% 13.4% 17.8% 5.9% 0.9%
James Altreuter 9.6% 9.9% 8.9% 10.8% 9.7% 9.8% 10.9% 11.7% 7.9% 6.7% 3.8% 0.3%
Alex Kavanaugh 7.1% 5.0% 6.8% 7.1% 7.5% 8.9% 9.0% 10.1% 13.2% 16.7% 7.6% 1.0%
John Vrolyk 7.4% 8.7% 9.9% 10.1% 9.8% 11.3% 11.1% 10.9% 9.6% 8.6% 2.6% 0.0%
Billy Hines 6.8% 6.6% 5.6% 8.3% 7.6% 8.4% 9.6% 12.2% 14.9% 13.5% 5.7% 0.8%
Josh Basseches 0.9% 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 2.0% 2.7% 5.4% 29.3% 55.6%
Terry Clarke 0.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 1.5% 1.8% 1.3% 2.3% 3.0% 6.6% 39.6% 40.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.