Race 9B

truxtun-umsted

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Patrick Igoe 9.0% 7.1% 8.3% 7.4% 7.4% 7.1% 7.7% 7.8% 7.0% 5.9% 5.8% 6.0% 4.9% 2.7% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
Aidan Dennis 5.9% 6.0% 5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 6.8% 6.2% 7.8% 7.7% 7.5% 6.0% 5.5% 7.0% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5% 1.1%
Joshua Dillon 4.9% 4.8% 5.1% 5.2% 5.2% 5.7% 6.4% 5.9% 6.5% 5.7% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 8.0% 7.6% 6.0% 3.9%
Benjamin Usher 5.5% 5.3% 5.0% 5.5% 6.3% 6.2% 5.5% 6.1% 6.8% 5.9% 6.8% 7.0% 7.8% 7.0% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5%
Tyler Brown 5.7% 5.5% 6.1% 6.0% 6.2% 5.8% 6.2% 6.3% 7.3% 7.6% 6.7% 7.5% 5.1% 5.5% 5.9% 3.8% 2.7%
John Wood 13.2% 12.5% 13.1% 11.7% 8.9% 8.1% 6.2% 6.6% 5.2% 4.4% 3.5% 2.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Ava Gustafson 5.2% 4.8% 5.3% 5.6% 5.7% 6.5% 6.5% 7.6% 6.7% 6.9% 6.4% 7.7% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 4.2% 3.1%
Kyle Reinecke 13.0% 13.2% 11.3% 11.9% 10.2% 9.0% 6.9% 5.3% 4.7% 4.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Lucas Thress 5.1% 6.6% 6.2% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 7.6% 6.2% 6.4% 7.0% 6.3% 5.7% 5.2% 4.9% 4.0% 1.8%
Everett Botwinick 7.8% 8.2% 8.4% 6.6% 7.9% 8.2% 7.6% 7.0% 6.8% 7.2% 6.2% 4.5% 4.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Marco Welch 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 3.6% 4.2% 3.2% 2.6% 4.0% 4.7% 6.3% 5.8% 6.5% 8.8% 10.4% 13.9% 15.0%
Tryg van Wyk 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 3.7% 3.9% 5.8% 4.8% 5.3% 5.1% 5.9% 6.5% 7.8% 9.2% 10.3% 10.3% 8.2%
Peter Stewart 2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 3.0% 2.9% 2.8% 3.8% 4.0% 3.9% 5.2% 5.6% 7.0% 7.3% 8.6% 10.3% 12.2% 15.6%
Pierce Brindley 6.3% 6.3% 6.5% 6.4% 6.2% 6.2% 6.7% 5.9% 7.1% 6.7% 5.9% 5.5% 6.2% 5.8% 5.8% 4.2% 2.3%
Jack Guinness 4.0% 3.6% 4.5% 3.7% 4.5% 4.6% 5.0% 6.0% 5.2% 5.8% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.2% 7.6% 9.0% 5.9%
Raam Fox 4.8% 5.2% 4.5% 6.0% 5.2% 6.0% 6.7% 6.2% 6.2% 7.0% 6.7% 6.9% 7.0% 6.7% 6.2% 5.5% 3.0%
Laura Smith 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 3.2% 3.5% 4.4% 5.2% 5.5% 7.0% 7.3% 14.4% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.