Race 3A

maisa-womens-spring-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Maria Sinagra 5.6% 5.9% 6.3% 7.5% 6.7% 8.1% 11.3% 12.1% 13.0% 10.2% 8.9% 4.4%
Kayla McComb 13.9% 16.8% 13.7% 12.8% 12.5% 9.2% 7.9% 6.0% 3.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Mary Hall 20.5% 16.1% 16.5% 12.3% 11.7% 8.9% 6.1% 5.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Nancy Hagood 11.4% 12.5% 12.8% 12.1% 12.0% 10.2% 10.6% 6.4% 5.5% 4.8% 1.1% 0.6%
Arielle DeLisser 7.6% 10.3% 10.2% 10.9% 10.1% 9.4% 10.7% 9.5% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.7%
Lauren Turner 14.3% 12.0% 11.9% 12.2% 12.2% 11.5% 8.1% 6.7% 5.3% 3.8% 1.9% 0.1%
Irene Jacqz 5.8% 5.8% 6.6% 8.1% 6.7% 9.8% 8.6% 9.5% 12.8% 10.6% 10.5% 5.2%
Corina Radtke 9.3% 8.0% 10.1% 10.0% 9.1% 9.3% 9.8% 11.6% 9.0% 7.6% 4.4% 1.8%
Giuditta Di Laghi 3.1% 3.4% 4.0% 6.0% 7.8% 8.4% 9.1% 9.7% 12.6% 13.2% 13.7% 9.0%
Mia Cooper 4.7% 4.1% 4.3% 4.8% 6.3% 7.6% 8.0% 11.6% 11.1% 13.8% 14.5% 9.2%
Derrill Hagood 1.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 3.6% 4.0% 4.3% 6.2% 11.9% 19.6% 41.8%
Annie Eckmann 1.9% 3.7% 2.4% 1.6% 2.5% 4.0% 5.8% 7.6% 10.9% 13.7% 19.9% 26.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.