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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.83vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+2.86vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+1.24vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.87+1.97vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.35-0.26vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.24vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.20+2.75vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.43-1.04vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.51-2.31vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.11-2.12vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.55-1.62vs Predicted
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12Hampton University2.11-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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4.86Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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5.97Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.74Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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9.75William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
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6.96Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.69George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.88Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.38Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.94Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 19.1% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.3% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 16.4% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 12.3% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Derrill Hagood | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 39.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 21.2% | 27.7% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.