Race 5A

maisa-womens-spring-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Turner 13.2% 12.6% 12.2% 12.4% 12.0% 11.9% 9.1% 7.3% 3.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
Nancy Hagood 11.9% 13.1% 12.3% 13.2% 10.3% 10.0% 10.6% 8.0% 5.2% 3.2% 1.9% 0.3%
Mary Hall 19.3% 17.1% 16.7% 12.6% 11.7% 9.7% 6.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Mia Cooper 3.0% 4.3% 4.0% 4.9% 7.8% 7.0% 8.3% 10.3% 11.2% 13.4% 15.4% 10.4%
Corina Radtke 8.1% 8.0% 8.7% 11.5% 10.7% 8.6% 9.8% 10.1% 9.8% 7.5% 5.3% 1.9%
Giuditta Di Laghi 3.3% 4.0% 5.9% 5.6% 4.3% 6.5% 8.5% 10.5% 12.8% 14.2% 14.4% 10.0%
Arielle DeLisser 9.1% 10.4% 9.6% 9.7% 10.5% 10.3% 9.4% 10.6% 8.9% 6.3% 3.8% 1.4%
Kayla McComb 17.4% 15.9% 13.5% 10.8% 11.4% 9.8% 9.6% 4.7% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Annie Eckmann 2.0% 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 2.8% 4.2% 7.3% 7.2% 11.2% 14.2% 19.5% 23.9%
Maria Sinagra 6.3% 6.3% 6.4% 7.0% 8.3% 10.2% 10.0% 11.9% 11.2% 9.7% 9.1% 3.6%
Irene Jacqz 5.1% 4.2% 5.6% 7.1% 8.3% 9.3% 8.4% 10.5% 12.6% 13.1% 9.2% 6.6%
Derrill Hagood 1.3% 2.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 5.1% 8.5% 11.4% 18.5% 41.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.