← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.60+5.70vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.68+3.68vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.64+3.43vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University1.87+3.66vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.59+1.43vs Predicted
-
6Webb Institute1.43+0.35vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.50-0.44vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College0.71+1.38vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+4.27vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia-0.58+3.22vs Predicted
-
11Washington College-0.68+2.36vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.63vs Predicted
-
13California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-6.10vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.80-4.98vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.51-8.36vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.7University of Pennsylvania1.607.7%1st Place
-
5.68Cornell University1.6812.1%1st Place
-
6.43University of Miami1.648.3%1st Place
-
7.66Princeton University1.875.9%1st Place
-
6.43Old Dominion University1.599.5%1st Place
-
6.35Webb Institute1.4310.1%1st Place
-
6.56Fordham University1.509.8%1st Place
-
9.38SUNY Maritime College0.713.8%1st Place
-
13.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.581.3%1st Place
-
13.22University of Virginia-0.580.9%1st Place
-
13.36Washington College-0.680.5%1st Place
-
11.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.032.5%1st Place
-
6.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.628.3%1st Place
-
9.02University of Vermont0.804.2%1st Place
-
6.64Tufts University1.518.1%1st Place
-
7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bennett | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Finn Mahan | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 28.8% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 21.4% | 28.9% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 28.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 8.6% |
| Clay Myers | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Clark Morris | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.