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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.40+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+2.03vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.74+2.56vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.45+1.39vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University1.15-1.09vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.49+1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.50-1.69vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.19-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.97-0.29vs Predicted
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10Miami University-1.71+0.09vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-1.18-1.94vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-1.46-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04University of Wisconsin2.4045.1%1st Place
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4.03University of South Florida1.1912.0%1st Place
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5.56Michigan State University0.746.2%1st Place
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5.39Northwestern University0.456.9%1st Place
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3.91Ohio State University1.1513.2%1st Place
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7.55Ohio State University-0.492.5%1st Place
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5.31University of Michigan0.506.9%1st Place
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6.77Ohio University-0.193.4%1st Place
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8.71University of Notre Dame-0.971.3%1st Place
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10.09Miami University-1.710.5%1st Place
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9.06Unknown School-1.181.1%1st Place
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9.57Northern Michigan University-1.460.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 45.1% | 27.5% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 12.0% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Koerschner | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 13.2% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| Brody Schwartz | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 13.8% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 21.3% | 37.8% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 17.3% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 21.2% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.