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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+3.76vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+2.86vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.25vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.43+2.10vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87-0.06vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.51-0.32vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.11-0.24vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.11-1.17vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-5.71vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.55-1.67vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.20-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.86Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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7.1Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.68George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.76Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.83Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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4.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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9.33Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.97William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.3% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Mary Hall | 19.2% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 6.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 9.8% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 9.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 22.1% | 25.8% |
| Derrill Hagood | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.