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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.85vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.87+3.94vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+1.29vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.51+2.93vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28-0.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.23vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35-2.39vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.11-0.24vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.11-1.22vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.43-3.02vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.20-1.01vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.55-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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6.93George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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4.87Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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4.61Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.76Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.78Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.98Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.99William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
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9.24Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arielle DeLisser | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Kayla McComb | 16.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 19.8% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 14.1% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 9.3% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
| Derrill Hagood | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 42.1% |
| Annie Eckmann | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.