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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.45+4.45vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.50+3.27vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.40-1.00vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.74+1.59vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University1.15-1.13vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.19-1.92vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.49+0.56vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.19-1.21vs Predicted
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9Miami University-1.71+0.94vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.97-1.30vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-1.46-1.41vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-1.18-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Northwestern University0.455.5%1st Place
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5.27University of Michigan0.507.1%1st Place
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2.0University of Wisconsin2.4046.8%1st Place
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5.59Michigan State University0.746.0%1st Place
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3.87Ohio State University1.1513.5%1st Place
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4.08University of South Florida1.1911.8%1st Place
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7.56Ohio State University-0.491.3%1st Place
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6.79Ohio University-0.193.5%1st Place
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9.94Miami University-1.710.9%1st Place
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8.7University of Notre Dame-0.971.9%1st Place
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9.59Northern Michigan University-1.460.9%1st Place
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9.17Unknown School-1.180.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Brody Schwartz | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Spencer | 46.8% | 26.1% | 15.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Koerschner | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 13.5% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.8% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 1.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 34.4% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 12.7% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 21.1% | 27.9% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.