Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Humberto Porrata 12.2% 15.0% 17.8% 16.4% 14.8% 10.4% 6.5% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Spencer 44.4% 27.1% 15.2% 8.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nadia Reynolds 14.4% 17.6% 16.1% 15.5% 14.8% 10.0% 6.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Luke Koerschner 6.1% 8.2% 11.4% 11.8% 12.7% 12.9% 12.4% 11.8% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Brody Schwartz 6.5% 9.5% 11.7% 12.2% 12.6% 13.0% 12.3% 10.2% 6.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Siri Schantz 3.4% 4.2% 5.5% 7.2% 8.5% 11.3% 12.5% 14.4% 13.1% 10.9% 6.6% 2.2%
Molly Sheridan 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 6.2% 6.5% 8.7% 12.0% 13.2% 14.6% 13.7% 10.8% 4.3%
Lawrence Busse 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.9% 5.5% 7.2% 11.8% 15.1% 21.0% 26.2%
Carter Hrabrick 1.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 4.5% 5.8% 8.6% 9.8% 13.2% 18.5% 16.4% 12.9%
Alexa Quinn 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 4.5% 6.8% 8.6% 12.5% 21.0% 36.9%
Gavin Lamphier 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 2.4% 3.9% 5.7% 5.9% 8.6% 14.4% 16.7% 20.1% 16.6%
Nikolas Chambers 6.2% 8.8% 9.2% 12.3% 13.8% 14.0% 13.1% 10.5% 7.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.