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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.86vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+2.84vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.51+3.88vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.87+1.94vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.68vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.11+1.94vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.43-0.09vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.33vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.11-1.23vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.35-5.40vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.55-1.70vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.20-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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4.84Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.88George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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7.94Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.91Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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7.77Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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4.6Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.3Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.97William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 19.1% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Kayla McComb | 15.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 9.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Mia Cooper | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 8.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 13.6% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 26.7% |
| Derrill Hagood | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 19.0% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.