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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+3.36vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.51+4.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.76vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+0.90vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.35-0.31vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.11+1.92vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.43-0.01vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87-2.17vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.45vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.55-0.91vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.11-2.95vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.20-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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6.88George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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3.76U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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4.9Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.69Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.92Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.99Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.83Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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9.09Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.05Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.99William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McComb | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| Mary Hall | 21.2% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 10.2% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 13.7% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 8.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 25.8% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 10.7% |
| Derrill Hagood | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 19.5% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.