Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Humberto Porrata 11.8% 15.7% 16.5% 17.1% 14.1% 10.2% 7.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Luke Koerschner 6.0% 8.5% 9.3% 12.8% 12.5% 15.3% 11.8% 9.8% 8.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Nikolas Chambers 6.0% 9.3% 12.1% 10.0% 13.6% 13.6% 13.5% 9.9% 7.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Sam Spencer 45.4% 26.8% 16.0% 7.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nadia Reynolds 13.0% 17.9% 18.2% 17.0% 13.2% 9.3% 6.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Brody Schwartz 6.7% 9.6% 11.2% 12.0% 13.8% 13.7% 13.8% 8.6% 7.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Siri Schantz 3.1% 4.3% 5.7% 7.6% 8.8% 9.8% 14.1% 15.0% 13.5% 10.2% 5.8% 2.0%
Carter Hrabrick 1.5% 1.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 7.0% 7.1% 10.5% 14.1% 17.9% 18.4% 11.2%
Alexa Quinn 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 6.5% 7.6% 13.8% 20.9% 37.7%
Molly Sheridan 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 5.9% 6.8% 8.6% 10.9% 14.8% 14.7% 14.6% 10.7% 4.2%
Gavin Lamphier 2.1% 1.6% 2.3% 3.0% 4.3% 4.8% 6.5% 9.2% 13.8% 17.6% 18.9% 16.0%
Lawrence Busse 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 2.3% 2.8% 3.8% 4.8% 7.6% 10.8% 15.3% 21.0% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.