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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+3.01vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.40+0.06vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.74+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.50+1.27vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University1.15-1.21vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.49+1.64vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.19-0.16vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.45-2.51vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.97-0.30vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-1.46-0.43vs Predicted
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11Miami University-1.71-0.94vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-1.18-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01University of South Florida1.1912.7%1st Place
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2.06University of Wisconsin2.4044.4%1st Place
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5.55Michigan State University0.745.7%1st Place
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5.27University of Michigan0.507.0%1st Place
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3.79Ohio State University1.1514.6%1st Place
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7.64Ohio State University-0.491.8%1st Place
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6.84Ohio University-0.193.8%1st Place
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5.49Northwestern University0.456.5%1st Place
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8.7University of Notre Dame-0.971.3%1st Place
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9.57Northern Michigan University-1.460.5%1st Place
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10.06Miami University-1.710.8%1st Place
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9.02Unknown School-1.181.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 12.7% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Spencer | 44.4% | 26.3% | 16.2% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Koerschner | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Brody Schwartz | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 14.6% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 13.1% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 26.3% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 38.9% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.