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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+3.77vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.28vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.74vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.43+3.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.20vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28-1.13vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.11+0.77vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51-1.25vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.11-1.21vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87-4.16vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.20-1.00vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.55-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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5.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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7.12Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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4.87Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.77Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.75George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.79Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.84Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.0William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
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9.26Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 13.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Kayla McComb | 15.2% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| Mary Hall | 18.8% | 20.2% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 10.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 8.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Derrill Hagood | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 20.5% | 41.1% |
| Annie Eckmann | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.