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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.40+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.50+2.28vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University1.15-0.15vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.19+1.88vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.74-0.50vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.46+2.57vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.49-0.36vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.45-3.60vs Predicted
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10Miami University-1.71+0.03vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.97-2.23vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-1.18-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Wisconsin2.4046.3%1st Place
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3.95University of South Florida1.1912.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Michigan0.507.0%1st Place
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3.85Ohio State University1.1513.5%1st Place
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6.88Ohio University-0.193.5%1st Place
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5.5Michigan State University0.745.8%1st Place
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9.57Northern Michigan University-1.460.4%1st Place
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7.64Ohio State University-0.491.9%1st Place
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5.4Northwestern University0.456.2%1st Place
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10.03Miami University-1.710.8%1st Place
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8.77University of Notre Dame-0.971.6%1st Place
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9.11Unknown School-1.180.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 46.3% | 26.1% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 12.2% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brody Schwartz | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 13.5% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Luke Koerschner | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 22.4% | 25.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 21.3% | 36.9% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 12.1% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.