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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.86vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.11+5.90vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.43+4.11vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.51+2.90vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28-0.12vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.27vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35-2.44vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-3.73vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-3.27vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.20-0.18vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.55-1.68vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.11-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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7.9Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.11Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.9George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.88Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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4.56Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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5.73Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.82William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
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9.32Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.92Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 19.5% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 10.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 16.9% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Derrill Hagood | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 40.2% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 21.6% | 26.9% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.