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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.40+0.14vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University1.15+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.29-0.20vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.45+0.49vs Predicted
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60.02+0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.97+1.82vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.49-0.41vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-0.19-2.18vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-1.46-0.32vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-1.18-1.96vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.71-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of South Florida1.1911.6%1st Place
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2.14University of Wisconsin2.4041.2%1st Place
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3.93Ohio State University1.1512.4%1st Place
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3.8University of Michigan1.2914.9%1st Place
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5.49Northwestern University0.456.2%1st Place
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6.460.023.8%1st Place
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8.82University of Notre Dame-0.971.2%1st Place
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7.59Ohio State University-0.492.4%1st Place
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6.82Ohio University-0.193.2%1st Place
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9.68Northern Michigan University-1.461.1%1st Place
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9.04Unknown School-1.181.2%1st Place
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10.06Miami University-1.710.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 11.6% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Spencer | 41.2% | 28.3% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 12.4% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 14.9% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ella Beck | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 12.4% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Lawrence Busse | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 22.2% | 27.0% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 16.6% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 21.2% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.