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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.11+6.95vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.51+4.83vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.43+4.05vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.30vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28-0.16vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.11+1.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.25vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87-2.14vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.55+0.13vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.20-0.14vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-5.17vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.35-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.83George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.05Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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4.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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4.84Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.87Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.86Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.13Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.86William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
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5.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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4.74Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Cooper | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 10.5% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 15.3% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% |
| Mary Hall | 19.1% | 20.4% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 20.9% | 22.9% |
| Derrill Hagood | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 40.9% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 12.5% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.