Race 10B

truxtun-umsted

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
John Wood 13.1% 11.8% 13.4% 11.1% 9.3% 8.0% 6.8% 7.5% 5.1% 4.7% 3.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Patrick Igoe 8.0% 9.2% 7.0% 7.5% 8.3% 7.3% 8.3% 7.4% 6.7% 7.2% 5.4% 5.0% 4.5% 3.5% 2.0% 2.2% 0.4%
Aidan Dennis 7.2% 7.0% 6.4% 7.0% 6.6% 6.2% 6.9% 7.1% 6.2% 6.7% 6.3% 5.8% 5.9% 5.8% 5.1% 2.4% 1.4%
Lucas Thress 5.9% 5.7% 6.7% 6.3% 5.7% 6.8% 6.5% 6.5% 5.9% 6.3% 7.2% 7.1% 6.3% 6.2% 5.2% 4.0% 1.8%
Everett Botwinick 7.4% 8.1% 7.6% 7.8% 7.6% 7.9% 8.1% 7.9% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 5.6% 4.6% 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Laura Smith 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 3.5% 2.9% 4.0% 3.1% 3.4% 4.2% 4.9% 6.6% 9.7% 13.8% 33.7%
Kyle Reinecke 14.5% 12.4% 11.7% 10.1% 8.9% 7.6% 7.5% 6.7% 5.8% 5.1% 3.0% 2.6% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Tryg van Wyk 2.9% 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 4.0% 5.1% 3.8% 4.6% 5.7% 6.7% 6.2% 6.7% 8.0% 7.1% 9.0% 10.1% 8.6%
Joshua Dillon 4.4% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 6.5% 5.2% 5.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% 7.2% 7.0% 7.4% 6.5% 6.1% 4.0%
Ava Gustafson 5.2% 6.4% 5.8% 4.6% 5.7% 7.2% 5.4% 6.3% 6.8% 6.8% 6.9% 6.3% 6.6% 6.3% 6.0% 4.9% 2.9%
Peter Stewart 2.2% 2.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 3.9% 3.8% 5.2% 6.8% 7.1% 8.6% 10.1% 14.9% 15.4%
Raam Fox 5.0% 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 6.1% 6.6% 5.5% 8.0% 6.1% 6.5% 7.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.6% 6.2% 2.8%
Benjamin Usher 5.0% 5.2% 4.7% 5.1% 6.0% 5.9% 6.0% 6.3% 6.0% 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 7.5% 7.7% 6.7% 5.1% 3.0%
Pierce Brindley 5.2% 5.5% 5.9% 6.2% 6.8% 6.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.2% 6.4% 7.1% 6.3% 6.0% 6.2% 5.2% 3.8% 2.0%
Jack Guinness 3.8% 3.5% 4.1% 5.1% 4.3% 5.5% 5.1% 5.4% 6.5% 6.2% 6.6% 7.1% 7.0% 7.9% 8.3% 7.8% 5.7%
Tyler Brown 6.2% 5.9% 5.5% 5.6% 6.2% 6.2% 5.9% 6.6% 6.2% 6.8% 6.5% 6.3% 7.2% 6.5% 5.8% 4.0% 2.5%
Marco Welch 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 3.8% 4.4% 4.8% 5.4% 5.9% 7.8% 8.1% 9.8% 13.1% 15.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.