Race 8A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Colin Santangelo 11.9% 9.8% 10.5% 10.7% 12.8% 10.5% 10.8% 8.8% 7.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.1%
Charles Field 4.9% 5.8% 7.2% 7.1% 9.0% 8.5% 9.2% 12.2% 14.3% 15.8% 5.1% 0.9%
Billy Hines 6.7% 5.6% 7.1% 6.8% 7.1% 10.0% 8.6% 11.5% 15.6% 14.7% 5.7% 0.6%
James Altreuter 7.2% 9.6% 10.2% 9.5% 10.9% 9.8% 12.3% 9.6% 9.3% 8.4% 3.0% 0.2%
Quentin Chafee 12.3% 13.4% 13.2% 11.9% 10.5% 10.5% 7.6% 8.9% 6.5% 4.0% 1.1% 0.1%
John Vrolyk 9.0% 7.3% 8.3% 9.3% 9.4% 10.0% 10.7% 11.5% 10.5% 10.7% 3.2% 0.1%
Max Taylor 12.6% 14.1% 11.4% 11.5% 10.8% 10.3% 10.2% 5.9% 7.6% 4.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Alex Kavanaugh 6.8% 5.8% 6.7% 7.8% 6.9% 7.5% 10.0% 11.9% 11.1% 16.8% 7.8% 0.9%
Matt Johnson 17.1% 16.5% 14.9% 12.3% 11.2% 10.3% 7.6% 4.8% 3.4% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 10.0% 10.4% 9.4% 11.5% 9.6% 10.7% 10.1% 10.7% 8.7% 6.2% 2.4% 0.3%
Terry Clarke 1.2% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 7.6% 39.2% 40.6%
Josh Basseches 0.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 3.1% 4.2% 29.6% 56.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.