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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.34vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.07vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.30+4.77vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.43+3.47vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97-0.92vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-0.80vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.24+0.75vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-3.73vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71-4.53vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.36-0.65vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.07-2.68vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-3.28-0.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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3.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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7.77Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.47Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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4.08Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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7.75George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.27Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.35William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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8.32Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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11.91Hampton University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 25.0% | 21.1% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 0.2% |
| Madeleine Sims | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 14.2% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 15.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 43.5% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 1.2% |
| Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 96.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.