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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+3.16vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.45+3.45vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.40-0.90vs Predicted
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40.02+2.50vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.29-1.22vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University1.15-2.01vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.46+2.63vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.49-0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.97-0.22vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-1.18-0.95vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-0.19-4.17vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.71-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of South Florida1.1910.5%1st Place
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5.45Northwestern University0.456.3%1st Place
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2.1University of Wisconsin2.4042.2%1st Place
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6.50.023.7%1st Place
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3.78University of Michigan1.2915.2%1st Place
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3.99Ohio State University1.1512.5%1st Place
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9.63Northern Michigan University-1.460.7%1st Place
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7.66Ohio State University-0.492.2%1st Place
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8.78University of Notre Dame-0.971.4%1st Place
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9.05Unknown School-1.181.2%1st Place
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6.83Ohio University-0.193.6%1st Place
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10.06Miami University-1.710.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 10.5% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sam Spencer | 42.2% | 27.6% | 16.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Billy Vogel | 15.2% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 12.5% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 27.4% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 12.3% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 15.6% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 20.8% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.