Race 2B

maisa-womens-spring-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mayumi Roller 24.5% 20.8% 19.8% 12.7% 8.8% 7.0% 3.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Amanda Taselaar 11.0% 12.3% 13.2% 13.6% 14.0% 11.9% 10.0% 8.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Brooke Lyon 9.8% 9.2% 9.5% 12.8% 10.9% 14.0% 13.0% 11.1% 6.1% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.8% 3.5% 3.3% 3.7% 5.8% 9.3% 12.1% 14.1% 17.1% 16.7% 12.3% 0.3%
Jennifer Borshoff 13.2% 13.7% 16.0% 12.9% 12.7% 11.5% 8.0% 7.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 13.4% 15.5% 12.5% 14.4% 14.6% 11.6% 8.8% 5.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Madeleine Sims 3.2% 4.9% 4.1% 4.6% 7.7% 8.2% 12.7% 12.0% 16.5% 15.9% 10.0% 0.2%
Andrea Luna 17.5% 15.0% 13.9% 14.3% 12.0% 10.6% 8.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Natalie Ross 2.1% 1.6% 3.0% 3.8% 4.4% 6.6% 9.8% 14.3% 18.2% 21.8% 14.2% 0.2%
Kaitlynn Menoche 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 2.7% 4.6% 7.2% 11.3% 18.8% 44.4% 1.5%
Alex Hitchcock 2.5% 2.1% 2.8% 4.7% 6.0% 6.5% 9.5% 13.1% 17.1% 19.1% 15.9% 0.7%
Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 1.7% 97.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.