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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.40+0.13vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University1.15+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.29-0.22vs Predicted
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50.02+1.42vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.45-0.42vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.19-0.14vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.18+1.07vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.49-1.27vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.97-1.26vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-1.46-1.36vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.71-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of South Florida1.1911.4%1st Place
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2.13University of Wisconsin2.4042.4%1st Place
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3.96Ohio State University1.1512.6%1st Place
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3.78University of Michigan1.2914.3%1st Place
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6.420.024.0%1st Place
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5.58Northwestern University0.455.0%1st Place
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6.86Ohio University-0.193.4%1st Place
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9.07Unknown School-1.181.3%1st Place
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7.73Ohio State University-0.492.5%1st Place
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8.74University of Notre Dame-0.971.4%1st Place
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9.64Northern Michigan University-1.460.9%1st Place
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9.96Miami University-1.710.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 11.4% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Spencer | 42.4% | 26.9% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 12.6% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Billy Vogel | 14.3% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 18.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 4.4% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 11.2% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 27.8% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 21.9% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.