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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+3.20vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.29+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.40-0.87vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.45+1.58vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University1.15-0.99vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.18+3.02vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.19-0.10vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.49-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.97-0.20vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-1.46-0.37vs Predicted
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110.02-4.50vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.71-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2University of South Florida1.1912.2%1st Place
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3.75University of Michigan1.2914.4%1st Place
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2.13University of Wisconsin2.4041.6%1st Place
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5.58Northwestern University0.455.2%1st Place
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4.01Ohio State University1.1512.8%1st Place
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9.02Unknown School-1.181.2%1st Place
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6.9Ohio University-0.193.5%1st Place
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7.5Ohio State University-0.492.6%1st Place
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8.8University of Notre Dame-0.971.4%1st Place
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9.63Northern Michigan University-1.460.9%1st Place
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6.50.023.1%1st Place
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9.99Miami University-1.710.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 12.2% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Billy Vogel | 14.4% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Spencer | 41.6% | 28.2% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 12.8% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 16.1% |
| Siri Schantz | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 12.9% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 22.2% | 25.7% |
| Ella Beck | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Alexa Quinn | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.