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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.71+4.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.54vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.72+4.20vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+1.08vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85-0.33vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-0.43vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-3.73vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97-3.66vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.07-0.49vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.36-0.36vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.30-2.78vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-3.28-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.54U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.2Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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5.08George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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4.67Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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3.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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4.34Old Dominion University2.970.2%1st Place
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8.51Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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9.64William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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8.22Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.92Hampton University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Taselaar | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 23.7% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 15.3% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 27.1% | 18.3% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 19.1% | 50.5% | 1.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 0.6% |
| Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.6% | 97.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.